Sunday, January 23, 2005

Championship games preview

1-3 last weekend so take this for what it's worth.
Falcons at Eagles (Eagles 5 1/2)
Earlier in the playoffs we had groups of horses playing against each other. Today we have a pair of birds. This game is interesting for a number of reasons. This is the Philidelphia's fourth championship game in a row, their first three ending in heartbreak. There has got to be fear of screwing up this one in the locker room. The one player they brought in to make them a 'different' team is out with a broken leg. They play very good defense and have just enough offense.
The Falcons have been playing over their heads all season. Their defense has some good players, especially up front, but their team is built around Michael Vick. He'll probably run for more yards than he passes today. And the Eagles have to know this. If they can take away the running game Vick won't be able to beat them with his arm.
On paper, this should be a win (and maybe a blowout) for the home team. But if a few breaks and special team plays go to Atlanta they can keep it close. And if that happens expect to find the Eagles hands applied tightly around their necks. For a pick, I'd go with the Eagles.
Patriots at Steelers (Pats 3)
The Steelers have only lost one game all year. They're playing at home, hosting the game, and they're the underdogs! The reason is simple: rookie quarterback. And did he ever look it last week. If Rothlesberger (or however it's spelled) plays that way again, the Steelers have no chance. If they commit to the run and have a good special teams day they can win.
But the Pats. How can you go against them? They've been so good in the playoffs over the past few years that it's awfully tough to go with anyone else. Their coaching staff puts together the best plans of anyone out there. And Brady has that same something that Montana did. I'll go with the Pats.

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