Sunday, August 31, 2008

Baseball

The White Sox and Twins have 27/26 games left entering today's games. The Sox have a 1/2 game lead and that's been the story for much of the last month. Since July 27th, only one of them have had more than a game and a half lead, and the White Sox only had that for one day.
There are two AL teams that really look to have a lock on a playoff spot. The Angels have a full 18 game lead and should clinch their division sometime in the next couple of weeks. The Tampa Bay Rays are the biggest story of the season. They've already set a franchise record for most wins in a season. They have a 4 1/2 game lead right now and the only thing that would keep them from post-season baseball would be an absolute collapse.
The Red Sox have the easiest route to the wild card. They're currently leading it by 3 1/2 and they play most of September at home. They would really have to stink it up to lose out.
That leaves the White Sox and Twins battling for that last spot. Both teams have played much better at home than on the road, but they have about equal games of each left (the White Sox have one more game on the road). The White Sox have seven games (including today's Red Sox game) left against contending teams and eight games against teams above .500. The Twins also have seven left against contenders but only three against other teams above .500. That gives the Twins a slight schedule edge but certainly not a dominant one.
The decider will almost certainly be a three game set in Minnesota Sep 23-25. The Metrodome has been a horrible spot for the Sox in recent years so they've got to be a bit worried about this. They need to have a greater than two game lead going in there to feel comfortable.
Should be a fun last month!

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